Wednesday, February 15, 2006

Haiti Mess

The latest election in Haiti is truly chaotic and tragic.

The election commission made a mistake releasing preliminary totals with only 15% of the ballots tallied, especially since that 15% was not a geographically or demographically-balanced subsample of the voters. By announcing early on that Preval was up to 61% of the total, the commission set up expectations that always had a fair chance of not being met. Now that most of the ballots have been counted and apparently show Preval getting something just short of the 50% needed to avoid a runoff, it looks like votes are being stolen -- whether or not that is actually the case.

Either way, voters are poised to go off if Preval is not declared winner on the first ballot.

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